Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 21

Burnley vs Manchester United: Prediction

📍 Turf Moor

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
BurnleyManchester United
  1. Ayden Heavenown goal13'
  2. Hannibal Mejbriyellow card41'
  3. 50'Benjamin Šeškoassist Bruno Fernandes
  4. Hannibal Mejbrion58'
  5. 60'Benjamin Šeškoassist Patrick Dorgu
  6. 61'Bruno Fernandeson
  7. 61'Ayden Heavenon
  8. Jaidon Anthonyassist Marcus Edwards66'
  9. 74'Matheus Cunhaon
  10. 74'Casemiroon
  11. Armando Brojaon76'
  12. 84'Manuel Ugarteon
  13. Lyle Fosteryellow card90'
  14. Marcus Edwardson90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BurnleyManchester United
  • 35%Possession65%
  • 0Expected goals (xG)2
  • 7Shots30
  • 1Shots on target10
  • 2Corners6
  • 9Fouls8
  • 2Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides0
  • 6Saves0
  • 310Passes577

Line-ups

Burnley

  • 2Kyle Walker
  • 1Martin Dubravka
  • 29Josh Laurent
  • 16Florentino Luís
  • 27Armando Broja
  • 8Chimuanya Ugochukwu
  • 10Marcus Edwards
  • 5Maxime Esteve
  • 28Hannibal Mejbri
  • 12Bashir Humphreys
  • 23Lucas Pires

Manchester United

  • 23Luke Shaw
  • 18Casemiro
  • 8Bruno Fernandes
  • 2Diogo Dalot
  • 6Lisandro Martínez
  • 10Matheus Cunha
  • 31Senne Lammens
  • 30Benjamin Šeško
  • 25Manuel Ugarte
  • 13Patrick Dorgu
  • 26Ayden Heaven

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1497 – 1502

Recent form

BurnleyLDDLL
Manchester UnitedDLWDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester United38+1971
2Burnley38-3722

Head to head

  • Manchester United 3–2 Burnley2025-08-30

Match preview

Burnley host Manchester United in the Premier League on 7 January 2026. Burnley sit 19th on 22 points and Manchester United are 3rd on 71. Burnley have won 0 of their last 5 (LDDLL), while Manchester United have won 1 of 5 (DLWDD). In their last 1 meetings, Burnley won 0, Manchester United won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming