Burnley vs Manchester United: Prediction
📍 Turf Moor
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- ⚽Ayden Heavenown goal13'
- Hannibal Mejbriyellow card41'
- 50'⚽Benjamin Šeškoassist Bruno Fernandes
- ⇄Hannibal Mejbrion58'
- 60'⚽Benjamin Šeškoassist Patrick Dorgu
- 61'⇄Bruno Fernandeson
- 61'⇄Ayden Heavenon
- ⚽Jaidon Anthonyassist Marcus Edwards66'
- 74'⇄Matheus Cunhaon
- 74'⇄Casemiroon
- ⇄Armando Brojaon76'
- 84'⇄Manuel Ugarteon
- Lyle Fosteryellow card90'
- ⇄Marcus Edwardson90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 35%Possession65%
- 0Expected goals (xG)2
- 7Shots30
- 1Shots on target10
- 2Corners6
- 9Fouls8
- 2Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides0
- 6Saves0
- 310Passes577
Line-ups
Burnley
- 2Kyle Walker
- 1Martin Dubravka
- 29Josh Laurent
- 16Florentino Luís
- 27Armando Broja
- 8Chimuanya Ugochukwu
- 10Marcus Edwards
- 5Maxime Esteve
- 28Hannibal Mejbri
- 12Bashir Humphreys
- 23Lucas Pires
Manchester United
- 23Luke Shaw
- 18Casemiro
- 8Bruno Fernandes
- 2Diogo Dalot
- 6Lisandro Martínez
- 10Matheus Cunha
- 31Senne Lammens
- 30Benjamin Šeško
- 25Manuel Ugarte
- 13Patrick Dorgu
- 26Ayden Heaven
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | +19 | 71 | |
| 2 | 38 | -37 | 22 |
Head to head
- Manchester United 3–2 Burnley2025-08-30
Match preview
Burnley host Manchester United in the Premier League on 7 January 2026. Burnley sit 19th on 22 points and Manchester United are 3rd on 71. Burnley have won 0 of their last 5 (LDDLL), while Manchester United have won 1 of 5 (DLWDD). In their last 1 meetings, Burnley won 0, Manchester United won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

