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FTMatchday 16

Burnley vs Fulham: Prediction

📍 Turf Moor

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
BurnleyFulham
  1. 9'Emil Smith Roweassist Harry Wilson
  2. Chimuanya Ugochukwuassist Josh Cullen21'
  3. 31'Calvin Basseyassist Harry Wilson
  4. 37'Joachim Andersenyellow card
  5. 58'Harry Wilsonassist Samuel Chukwueze
  6. Florentino Luíson62'
  7. Lyle Fosteron62'
  8. Josh Cullenyellow card66'
  9. Jacob Bruun Larsenon77'
  10. Axel Tuanzebeon77'
  11. 79'Alex Iwobion
  12. 79'Raúl Jiménezon
  13. 82'Kenny Teteyellow card
  14. Chimuanya Ugochukwuon83'
  15. Oliver Sonne86'
  16. 89'Harry Wilsonon
  17. 89'Emil Smith Roweon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BurnleyFulham
  • 53%Possession47%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)2
  • 16Shots6
  • 8Shots on target4
  • 10Corners4
  • 8Fouls8
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides0
  • 1Saves6
  • 523Passes473

Line-ups

Burnley

  • 1Martin Dubravka
  • 6Axel Tuanzebe
  • 24Josh Cullen
  • 7Jacob Bruun Larsen
  • 16Florentino Luís
  • 27Armando Broja
  • 8Chimuanya Ugochukwu
  • 18Hjalmar Ekdal
  • 9Lyle Foster
  • 5Maxime Esteve
  • 3Quilindschy Hartman

Fulham

  • 17Alex Iwobi
  • 2Kenny Tete
  • 1Bernd Leno
  • 5Joachim Andersen
  • 7Raúl Jiménez
  • 33Antonee Robinson
  • 8Harry Wilson
  • 16Sander Berge
  • 19Samuel Chukwueze
  • 32Emil Smith Rowe
  • 3Calvin Bassey

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1497 – 1524

Recent form

BurnleyLLLLL
FulhamLWWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Fulham38-452
2Burnley38-3722

Head to head

  • Fulham 3–1 Burnley2026-03-21

Match preview

Burnley host Fulham in the Premier League on 13 December 2025. Burnley sit 19th on 22 points and Fulham are 11th on 52. Burnley have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLLL), while Fulham have won 2 of 5 (LWWLL). In their last 1 meetings, Burnley won 0, Fulham won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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