FTMatchday 18

Burnley vs Everton: Prediction

📍 Turf Moor

Burnley0

Everton0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals

BurnleyEverton

Josh Cullenon53'
69'Carlos Alcarazon
70'Betoon
Jacob Bruun Larsenon73'
80'Tim Iroegbunamyellow card
86'Tyler-Jay Diblingyellow card
Armando Brojaon88'
Marcus Edwardson88'
88'Tyler-Jay Diblingon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BurnleyEverton

54%Possession46%
1Expected goals (xG)1
16Shots15
0Shots on target6
6Corners5
8Fouls8
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Offsides3
6Saves0
466Passes394

Line-ups

Burnley

2Kyle Walker
1Martin Dubravka
24Josh Cullen
29Josh Laurent
7Jacob Bruun Larsen
27Armando Broja
8Chimuanya Ugochukwu
18Hjalmar Ekdal
10Marcus Edwards
12Bashir Humphreys
23Lucas Pires

Everton

5Michael Keane
1Jordan Pickford
6James Tarkowski
7Dwight McNeil
37James Garner
16Vitaliy Mykolenko
9Beto
42Tim Iroegbunam
24Carlos Alcaraz
15Jake O'Brien
20Tyler-Jay Dibling

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1497 – 1501

Recent form

BurnleyLLLLD

EvertonLWWLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Everton	38	-3	49
2	Burnley	38	-37	22

Head to head

Everton 2–0 Burnley2026-03-03

Match preview

Burnley host Everton in the Premier League on 27 December 2025. Burnley sit 19th on 22 points and Everton are 13th on 49. Burnley have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLLD), while Everton have won 2 of 5 (LWWLL). In their last 1 meetings, Burnley won 0, Everton won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.