Burnley vs Derby County: Prediction
Not enough past results yet.
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
BurnleyLW
Derby CountyD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Derby County | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Head to head
Not enough past results yet.
Match preview
Burnley host Derby County in the EFL Cup on 26 August 2025. Burnley sit 30th on 3 points and Derby County are 57th on 1. Burnley have won 1 of their last 2 (LW), while Derby County have won 0 of 1 (D). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.