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FTMatchday 14

Burnley vs Crystal Palace: Prediction

📍 Turf Moor

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
BurnleyCrystal Palace
  1. 44'Daniel Muñozassist Marc Guéhi
  2. Loum Tchaounaon46'
  3. Jaidon Anthonyon58'
  4. Zian Flemmingon59'
  5. 64'Jean-Philippe Matetaon
  6. 64'Yeremi Pinoon
  7. Florentino Luíson71'
  8. 76'Adam Whartonon
  9. Josh Cullenon81'
  10. 88'Daichi Kamadaon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BurnleyCrystal Palace
  • 58%Possession42%
  • 0.95Expected goals (xG)0.59
  • 11Shots3
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 3Corners3
  • 9Fouls8
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides3
  • 2Saves3
  • 567Passes417

Line-ups

Burnley

  • 2Kyle Walker
  • 1Martin Dubravka
  • 24Josh Cullen
  • 16Florentino Luís
  • 19Zian Flemming
  • 11Jaidon Anthony
  • 18Hjalmar Ekdal
  • 9Lyle Foster
  • 5Maxime Esteve
  • 17Loum Tchaouna
  • 3Quilindschy Hartman

Crystal Palace

  • 1Dean Henderson
  • 8Jefferson Lerma
  • 18Daichi Kamada
  • 14Jean-Philippe Mateta
  • 3Tyrick Mitchell
  • 5Maxence Lacroix
  • 26Chris Richards
  • 6Marc Guéhi
  • 10Yeremi Pino
  • 2Daniel Muñoz
  • 20Adam Wharton

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1497 – 1521

Recent form

BurnleyWLLLL
Crystal PalaceWWDWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Crystal Palace38-1045
2Burnley38-3722

Head to head

  • Crystal Palace 2–3 Burnley2026-02-11

Match preview

Burnley host Crystal Palace in the Premier League on 3 December 2025. Burnley sit 19th on 22 points and Crystal Palace are 15th on 45. Burnley have won 1 of their last 5 (WLLLL), while Crystal Palace have won 3 of 5 (WWDWL). In their last 1 meetings, Burnley won 1, Crystal Palace won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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