Burnley vs Chelsea: Prediction
📍 Turf Moor
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 37'⚽Pedro Netoassist Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
- 41'Pedro Netoyellow card
- 46'⇄Reece Jameson
- Kyle Walkeryellow card49'
- 67'⇄Liam Delapon
- 69'João Pedroyellow card
- ⇄Jaidon Anthonyon72'
- ⇄Zian Flemmingon72'
- ⇄Chimuanya Ugochukwuon72'
- ⇄Loum Tchaounaon76'
- 76'⇄João Pedroon
- 81'Benoit Badiashileyellow card
- Hannibal Mejbriyellow card82'
- ⇄Florentino Luíson84'
- 88'⚽Enzo Fernándezassist Marc Guiu
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 44%Possession56%
- 0Expected goals (xG)2
- 8Shots15
- 2Shots on target5
- 1Corners9
- 13Fouls9
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides3
- 3Saves2
- 415Passes525
Line-ups
Burnley
- 2Kyle Walker
- 1Martin Dubravka
- 6Axel Tuanzebe
- 24Josh Cullen
- 16Florentino Luís
- 19Zian Flemming
- 11Jaidon Anthony
- 8Chimuanya Ugochukwu
- 5Maxime Esteve
- 17Loum Tchaouna
- 3Quilindschy Hartman
Chelsea
- 4Tosin Adarabioyo
- 1Robert Sanchez
- 20João Pedro
- 24Reece James
- 7Pedro Neto
- 3Marc Cucurella
- 23Trevoh Chalobah
- 9Liam Delap
- 17Andrey Santos
- 11Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
- 8Enzo Fernández
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
BurnleyLWWLL
ChelseaLWWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 38 | +6 | 52 |
| 2 | Burnley | 38 | -37 | 22 |
Head to head
- Chelsea 1–1 Burnley2026-02-21
Match preview
Burnley host Chelsea in the Premier League on 22 November 2025. Burnley sit 19th on 22 points and Chelsea are 10th on 52. Burnley have won 2 of their last 5 (LWWLL), while Chelsea have won 3 of 5 (LWWDW). In their last 1 meetings, Burnley won 0, Chelsea won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
