FTMatchday 10

Burnley vs Arsenal: Prediction

📍 Turf Moor

Burnley0

Arsenal2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

BurnleyArsenal

14'Viktor Gyökeresassist Gabriel Magalhães
Josh Cullenyellow card27'
35'Declan Riceassist Leandro Trossard
46'Viktor Gyökereson
Zian Flemmingyellow card55'
Chimuanya Ugochukwuon62'
Jaidon Anthonyon62'
72'Riccardo Calafiorion
72'Eberechi Ezeon
Zian Flemmingon76'
Josh Laurenton76'
77'Martín Zubimendion
Josh Cullenon83'
90'Gabriel Magalhãesyellow card
90'Leandro Trossardon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BurnleyArsenal

46%Possession54%
0Expected goals (xG)2
3Shots12
0Shots on target8
1Corners6
10Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Offsides1
5Saves0
422Passes493

Line-ups

Burnley

2Kyle Walker
1Martin Dubravka
6Axel Tuanzebe
24Josh Cullen
29Josh Laurent
16Florentino Luís
19Zian Flemming
11Jaidon Anthony
8Chimuanya Ugochukwu
5Maxime Esteve
3Quilindschy Hartman

Arsenal

1David Raya
19Leandro Trossard
41Declan Rice
7Bukayo Saka
6Gabriel Magalhães
10Eberechi Eze
2William Saliba
12Jurrien Timber
36Martín Zubimendi
14Viktor Gyökeres
33Riccardo Calafiori

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1497 – 1532

Recent form

BurnleyLLLWW

ArsenalWWWWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	38	+44	85
2	Burnley	38	-37	22

Head to head

Arsenal 1–0 Burnley2026-05-18

Match preview

Burnley host Arsenal in the Premier League on 1 November 2025. Burnley sit 19th on 22 points and Arsenal are 1st on 85. Burnley have won 2 of their last 5 (LLLWW), while Arsenal have won 5 of 5 (WWWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Burnley won 0, Arsenal won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.