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FTMatchday 17

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Sunderland: Prediction

📍 American Express Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
Brighton and Hove AlbionSunderland
  1. Brajan Grudayellow card19'
  2. Diego Coppolayellow card34'
  3. Mats Wiefferon46'
  4. 63'Simon Adingraon
  5. Maxim Cuyperon64'
  6. 64'Christopher Riggon
  7. Yankuba Mintehon71'
  8. Jack Hinshelwoodon71'
  9. 72'Brian Brobbeyon
  10. 79'Daniel Ballardyellow card
  11. 86'Enzo Le Féeyellow card
  12. Brajan Grudaon87'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Brighton and Hove AlbionSunderland
  • 56%Possession44%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 16Shots14
  • 4Shots on target6
  • 3Corners4
  • 11Fouls15
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 6Saves4
  • 412Passes322

Line-ups

Brighton and Hove Albion

  • 21Olivier Boscagli
  • 10Georginio Rutter
  • 29Maxim Cuyper
  • 1Bart Verbruggen
  • 24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
  • 42Diego Coppola
  • 26Yasin Ayari
  • 8Brajan Gruda
  • 27Mats Wieffer
  • 13Jack Hinshelwood
  • 11Yankuba Minteh

Sunderland

  • 34Granit Xhaka
  • 20Nordi Mukiele
  • 6Lutsharel Geertruida
  • 15Omar Alderete
  • 9Brian Brobbey
  • 28Enzo Le Fée
  • 5Daniel Ballard
  • 24Simon Adingra
  • 32Trai Hume
  • 11Christopher Rigg
  • 22Robin Roefs

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1498

Recent form

Brighton and Hove AlbionWWLDL
SunderlandLWDLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Sunderland38-654
2Brighton and Hove Albion38+653

Head to head

  • Sunderland 0–2 Brighton and Hove Albion2026-10-10
  • Sunderland 0–1 Brighton and Hove Albion2026-03-14

Match preview

Brighton and Hove Albion host Sunderland in the Premier League on 20 December 2025. Brighton and Hove Albion sit 8th on 53 points and Sunderland are 7th on 54. Brighton and Hove Albion have won 2 of their last 5 (WWLDL), while Sunderland have won 2 of 5 (LWDLW). In their last 2 meetings, Brighton and Hove Albion won 2, Sunderland won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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