FTMatchday 28

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest: Prediction

📍 American Express Stadium

Brighton and Hove Albion2

Nottingham Forest1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

Brighton and Hove AlbionNottingham Forest

Diego Gómezassist Pascal Gross6'
13'Morgan Gibbs-Whiteassist Igor Jesus
Danny Welbeckassist Jack Hinshelwood15'
30'Elliott Andersonyellow card
Mats Wiefferyellow card55'
56'Neco Williamson
56'Omari Hutchinsonon
Mats Wiefferon71'
74'Callum Hudson-Odoion
82'Ola Ainaon
83'Igor Jesuson
Kaoru Mitomayellow card84'
Diego Gómezon86'
James Milneron86'
Kaoru Mitomaon90'
Lewis Dunkyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Brighton and Hove AlbionNottingham Forest

53%Possession47%
1.31Expected goals (xG)0.93
14Shots13
7Shots on target4
4Corners4
12Fouls13
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Offsides3
3Saves5
507Passes436

Line-ups

Brighton and Hove Albion

18Danny Welbeck
20James Milner
5Lewis Dunk
30Pascal Gross
22Kaoru Mitoma
1Bart Verbruggen
24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
6Jan Paul van Hecke
27Mats Wieffer
13Jack Hinshelwood
25Diego Gómez

Nottingham Forest

26Matz Sels
34Ola Aina
31Nikola Milenković
3Neco Williams
7Callum Hudson-Odoi
10Morgan Gibbs-White
6Ibrahim Sangaré
8Elliott Anderson
21Omari Hutchinson
5Murillo
19Igor Jesus

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1492

Recent form

Brighton and Hove AlbionLDLLW

Nottingham ForestWDLDL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Brighton and Hove Albion	38	+6	53
2	Nottingham Forest	38	-3	44

Head to head

Nottingham Forest 0–2 Brighton and Hove Albion2025-11-30

Match preview

Brighton and Hove Albion host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on 1 March 2026. Brighton and Hove Albion sit 8th on 53 points and Nottingham Forest are 16th on 44. Brighton and Hove Albion have won 1 of their last 5 (LDLLW), while Nottingham Forest have won 1 of 5 (WDLDL). In their last 1 meetings, Brighton and Hove Albion won 1, Nottingham Forest won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.