Kick-off · Sun, 29 Nov, 07:35 pm ISTMatchday 12
Brighton and Hove Albion vs Newcastle United: Prediction
Brighton and Hove Albion57%Home win
Newcastle United57% Home win22% Draw21% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.89 – 1.04
Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1529
Recent form
Brighton and Hove AlbionWWWWLNewcastle UnitedLWLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 8 | +16 | 16 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 3–1 Brighton and Hove Albion2026-05-02
- Brighton and Hove Albion 2–1 Newcastle United2025-10-18
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
