Brighton and Hove Albion vs Newcastle United: Prediction
📍 American Express Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- ⇄Diego Gómezon36'
- ⚽Danny Welbeckassist Georginio Rutter41'
- 46'⇄Joelintonon
- 46'⇄Anthony Elangaon
- 70'⇄Anthony Gordonon
- 70'⇄Sandro Tonalion
- ⇄Georginio Rutteron71'
- ⇄Carlos Balebaon71'
- 76'⚽Nick Woltemadeassist Lewis Miley
- ⚽Danny Welbeck84'
- 86'⇄Bruno Guimarãeson
- 90'Dan Burnyellow card
- ⇄Danny Welbeckon90'
- ⇄Yankuba Mintehon90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 46%Possession54%
- 1Expected goals (xG)1
- 13Shots16
- 5Shots on target3
- 8Corners4
- 13Fouls16
- 0Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides1
- 2Saves3
- 421Passes491
Line-ups
Brighton and Hove Albion
- 18Danny Welbeck
- 5Lewis Dunk
- 10Georginio Rutter
- 1Bart Verbruggen
- 24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
- 6Jan Paul van Hecke
- 17Carlos Baleba
- 26Yasin Ayari
- 27Mats Wieffer
- 11Yankuba Minteh
- 25Diego Gómez
Newcastle United
- 2Kieran Trippier
- 33Dan Burn
- 1Nick Pope
- 7Joelinton
- 8Sandro Tonali
- 27Nick Woltemade
- 10Anthony Gordon
- 4Sven Botman
- 39Bruno Guimarães
- 12Malick Thiaw
- 20Anthony Elanga
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Brighton and Hove AlbionLDWWD
Newcastle UnitedDWLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 38 | +6 | 53 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 38 | -2 | 49 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 3–1 Brighton and Hove Albion2026-05-02
Match preview
Brighton and Hove Albion host Newcastle United in the Premier League on 18 October 2025. Brighton and Hove Albion sit 8th on 53 points and Newcastle United are 12th on 49. Brighton and Hove Albion have won 2 of their last 5 (LDWWD), while Newcastle United have won 3 of 5 (DWLWW). In their last 1 meetings, Brighton and Hove Albion won 0, Newcastle United won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
