Kick-off · Sat, 2 Jan, 06:00 pm ISTMatchday 19
Brighton and Hove Albion vs Manchester United: Prediction
Brighton and Hove Albion51%Home win
Manchester United51% Home win24% Draw25% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.73 – 1.14
Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1502
Recent form
Brighton and Hove AlbionWWWWLManchester UnitedDLDLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 8 | +16 | 16 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 8 | -3 | 7 |
Head to head
- Brighton and Hove Albion 0–3 Manchester United2026-05-24
- Manchester United 4–2 Brighton and Hove Albion2025-10-25
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
