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FTMatchday 3

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Manchester City: Prediction

📍 American Express Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Brighton and Hove AlbionManchester City
  1. Jan Paul van Heckeyellow card16'
  2. 34'Erling Haalandassist Omar Marmoush
  3. Carlos Balebaon60'
  4. Jack Hinshelwoodon61'
  5. Diego Gómezon61'
  6. Danny Welbeckon61'
  7. 63'Abduqodir Khusanovyellow card
  8. James Milnerpenalty67'
  9. 69'Rayan Aït-Nouriyellow card
  10. 72'Omar Marmoushon
  11. 72'Bernardo Silvaon
  12. Joel Veltmanyellow card77'
  13. 85'Abduqodir Khusanovon
  14. 85'Matheus Nuneson
  15. Brajan Grudaassist Kaoru Mitoma89'
  16. Yankuba Mintehon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Brighton and Hove AlbionManchester City
  • 36%Possession64%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)2
  • 12Shots12
  • 7Shots on target3
  • 3Corners2
  • 16Fouls14
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides0
  • 2Saves5
  • 308Passes556

Line-ups

Brighton and Hove Albion

  • 18Danny Welbeck
  • 34Joel Veltman
  • 5Lewis Dunk
  • 29Maxim Cuyper
  • 22Kaoru Mitoma
  • 1Bart Verbruggen
  • 6Jan Paul van Hecke
  • 17Carlos Baleba
  • 13Jack Hinshelwood
  • 11Yankuba Minteh
  • 25Diego Gómez

Manchester City

  • 5John Stones
  • 20Bernardo Silva
  • 16Rodri
  • 21Rayan Aït-Nouri
  • 9Erling Haaland
  • 4Tijjani Reijnders
  • 1James Trafford
  • 7Omar Marmoush
  • 27Matheus Nunes
  • 52Oscar Bobb
  • 45Abduqodir Khusanov

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1535

Recent form

Brighton and Hove AlbionDLW
Manchester CityWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City38+4278
2Brighton and Hove Albion38+653

Head to head

  • Manchester City 0–1 Brighton and Hove Albion2026-10-31
  • Manchester City 1–1 Brighton and Hove Albion2026-01-07

Match preview

Brighton and Hove Albion host Manchester City in the Premier League on 31 August 2025. Brighton and Hove Albion sit 8th on 53 points and Manchester City are 2nd on 78. Brighton and Hove Albion have won 1 of their last 3 (DLW), while Manchester City have won 1 of 2 (WL). In their last 2 meetings, Brighton and Hove Albion won 1, Manchester City won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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