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FTMatchday 10

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Leeds United: Prediction

📍 American Express Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Brighton and Hove AlbionLeeds United
  1. Danny Welbeckassist Mats Wieffer11'
  2. 60'Sean Longstaffon
  3. 61'Ao Tanakaon
  4. Diego Gómez64'
  5. 65'Dominic Calvert-Lewinon
  6. Diego Gómezassist Yankuba Minteh70'
  7. 73'Ethan Ampaduyellow card
  8. 77'Jayden Bogleon
  9. 77'Noah Okaforon
  10. Diego Gómezon81'
  11. Danny Welbeckon82'
  12. Yankuba Mintehon88'
  13. Yasin Ayarion90'
  14. Georginio Rutteron90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Brighton and Hove AlbionLeeds United
  • 50%Possession50%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)0
  • 14Shots6
  • 7Shots on target2
  • 4Corners7
  • 10Fouls7
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides1
  • 2Saves4
  • 479Passes466

Line-ups

Brighton and Hove Albion

  • 18Danny Welbeck
  • 5Lewis Dunk
  • 10Georginio Rutter
  • 1Bart Verbruggen
  • 24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
  • 6Jan Paul van Hecke
  • 17Carlos Baleba
  • 26Yasin Ayari
  • 27Mats Wieffer
  • 11Yankuba Minteh
  • 25Diego Gómez

Leeds United

  • 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
  • 8Sean Longstaff
  • 6Joe Rodon
  • 15Jaka Bijol
  • 4Ethan Ampadu
  • 19Noah Okafor
  • 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
  • 2Jayden Bogle
  • 11Brenden Aaronson
  • 22Ao Tanaka
  • 1Lucas Perri

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1502

Recent form

Brighton and Hove AlbionWDWLL
Leeds UnitedWDLLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Brighton and Hove Albion38+653
2Leeds United38-747

Head to head

  • Brighton and Hove Albion 1–1 Leeds United2026-09-05
  • Leeds United 1–0 Brighton and Hove Albion2026-05-17

Match preview

Brighton and Hove Albion host Leeds United in the Premier League on 1 November 2025. Brighton and Hove Albion sit 8th on 53 points and Leeds United are 14th on 47. Brighton and Hove Albion have won 2 of their last 5 (WDWLL), while Leeds United have won 2 of 5 (WDLLW). In their last 2 meetings, Brighton and Hove Albion won 0, Leeds United won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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