FTMatchday 34

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Chelsea: Prediction

📍 American Express Stadium

Brighton and Hove Albion3

Chelsea0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

Brighton and Hove AlbionChelsea

Ferdi Kadıoğlu3'
45'Wesley Fofanayellow card
Mats Wiefferon46'
46'Wesley Fofanaon
Jack Hinshelwoodassist Georginio Rutter56'
Yankuba Mintehyellow card58'
72'Liam Delapon
73'Roméo Laviaon
Yankuba Mintehon77'
Kaoru Mitomaon82'
Georginio Rutteron83'
Jack Hinshelwoodon90'
90'Malo Gustoon
Danny Welbeckassist Maxim Cuyper90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Brighton and Hove AlbionChelsea

53%Possession47%
2.14Expected goals (xG)0.37
15Shots6
9Shots on target0
6Corners5
15Fouls6
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Offsides4
0Saves4
532Passes475

Line-ups

Brighton and Hove Albion

30Pascal Gross
21Olivier Boscagli
10Georginio Rutter
22Kaoru Mitoma
1Bart Verbruggen
24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
6Jan Paul van Hecke
17Carlos Baleba
27Mats Wieffer
13Jack Hinshelwood
11Yankuba Minteh

Chelsea

1Robert Sanchez
7Pedro Neto
3Marc Cucurella
29Wesley Fofana
23Trevoh Chalobah
9Liam Delap
27Malo Gusto
25Moisés Caicedo
45Roméo Lavia
8Enzo Fernández
21Jorrel Hato

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1524

Recent form

Brighton and Hove AlbionLWWWD

ChelseaWLLLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Brighton and Hove Albion	38	+6	53
2	Chelsea	38	+6	52

Head to head

Chelsea 4–3 Brighton and Hove Albion2026-08-30
Chelsea 1–3 Brighton and Hove Albion2025-09-27

Match preview

Brighton and Hove Albion host Chelsea in the Premier League on 21 April 2026. Brighton and Hove Albion sit 8th on 53 points and Chelsea are 10th on 52. Brighton and Hove Albion have won 3 of their last 5 (LWWWD), while Chelsea have won 1 of 5 (WLLLL). In their last 2 meetings, Brighton and Hove Albion won 1, Chelsea won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.