FTMatchday 20

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Burnley: Prediction

📍 American Express Stadium

Brighton and Hove Albion2

Burnley0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

Brighton and Hove AlbionBurnley

22'Josh Laurentyellow card
Georginio Rutterassist Charalambos Kostoulas29'
39'Florentino Luísyellow card
44'Bashir Humphreysyellow card
Yasin Ayari47'
55'Jacob Bruun Larsenon
55'Chimuanya Ugochukwuon
64'Armando Brojaon
Kaoru Mitomaon70'
Georginio Rutteron71'
Charalambos Kostoulason71'
Diego Gómezon80'
81'Jaidon Anthonyon
Brajan Grudaon87'
90'Kyle Walkeryellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Brighton and Hove AlbionBurnley

60%Possession40%
1Expected goals (xG)0
15Shots5
4Shots on target3
4Corners4
7Fouls16
0Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
3Offsides1
2Saves2
599Passes385

Line-ups

Brighton and Hove Albion

34Joel Veltman
5Lewis Dunk
10Georginio Rutter
22Kaoru Mitoma
1Bart Verbruggen
24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
6Jan Paul van Hecke
26Yasin Ayari
8Brajan Gruda
25Diego Gómez
19Charalambos Kostoulas

Burnley

2Kyle Walker
1Martin Dubravka
29Josh Laurent
7Jacob Bruun Larsen
16Florentino Luís
27Armando Broja
11Jaidon Anthony
8Chimuanya Ugochukwu
18Hjalmar Ekdal
12Bashir Humphreys
23Lucas Pires

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1497

Recent form

Brighton and Hove AlbionDLDLD

BurnleyLLDDL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Brighton and Hove Albion	38	+6	53
2	Burnley	38	-37	22

Head to head

Burnley 0–2 Brighton and Hove Albion2026-04-11

Match preview

Brighton and Hove Albion host Burnley in the Premier League on 3 January 2026. Brighton and Hove Albion sit 8th on 53 points and Burnley are 19th on 22. Brighton and Hove Albion have won 0 of their last 5 (DLDLD), while Burnley have won 0 of 5 (LLDDL). In their last 1 meetings, Brighton and Hove Albion won 1, Burnley won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.