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FTMatchday 12

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Brentford: Prediction

📍 American Express Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Brighton and Hove AlbionBrentford
  1. Olivier Boscagliyellow card15'
  2. 29'Igor Thiagopenalty
  3. 36'Dango Ouattarayellow card
  4. Olivier Boscaglion46'
  5. Carlos Balebaon46'
  6. Diego Gómezyellow card64'
  7. 65'Dango Ouattaraon
  8. Diego Gómezon70'
  9. Danny Welbeckassist Yankuba Minteh71'
  10. 80'Kristoffer Ajeron
  11. 80'Yehor Yarmolyukon
  12. 80'Mikkel Damsgaardon
  13. Jack Hinshelwood84'
  14. Yankuba Mintehon89'
  15. Bart Verbruggenyellow card90'
  16. Brajan Grudayellow card90'
  17. 90'Vitaly Janeltyellow card
  18. Georginio Rutteron90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Brighton and Hove AlbionBrentford
  • 64%Possession36%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 14Shots10
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 7Corners4
  • 10Fouls9
  • 4Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides1
  • 3Saves3
  • 561Passes309

Line-ups

Brighton and Hove Albion

  • 18Danny Welbeck
  • 21Olivier Boscagli
  • 10Georginio Rutter
  • 1Bart Verbruggen
  • 24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
  • 6Jan Paul van Hecke
  • 17Carlos Baleba
  • 26Yasin Ayari
  • 27Mats Wieffer
  • 11Yankuba Minteh
  • 25Diego Gómez

Brentford

  • 6Jordan Henderson
  • 20Kristoffer Ajer
  • 4Sepp van den Berg
  • 1Caoimhín Kelleher
  • 24Mikkel Damsgaard
  • 22Nathan Michael Collins
  • 7Kevin Schade
  • 19Dango Ouattara
  • 33Michael Kayode
  • 18Yehor Yarmolyuk
  • 9Igor Thiago

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1541

Recent form

Brighton and Hove AlbionWLLWD
BrentfordWWWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Brighton and Hove Albion38+653
2Brentford38+353

Head to head

  • Brentford 0–2 Brighton and Hove Albion2026-02-21

Match preview

Brighton and Hove Albion host Brentford in the Premier League on 22 November 2025. Brighton and Hove Albion sit 8th on 53 points and Brentford are 9th on 53. Brighton and Hove Albion have won 2 of their last 5 (WLLWD), while Brentford have won 4 of 5 (WWWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Brighton and Hove Albion won 1, Brentford won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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