FTMatchday 22

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Bournemouth: Prediction

📍 American Express Stadium

Brighton and Hove Albion1

Bournemouth1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

Brighton and Hove AlbionBournemouth

32'Marcus Tavernierpenalty
Danny Welbeckyellow card58'
60'Marcos Senesiyellow card
Diego Gómezon66'
Brajan Grudaon66'
Jack Hinshelwoodon66'
71'Marcus Tavernieron
72'Eli Junior Kroupion
Jan Paul van Heckeyellow card77'
Danny Welbeckon77'
79'Amine Adlion
83'Adam Smithyellow card
85'Đorđe Petrovićyellow card
Ferdi Kadıoğluon89'
90'Álex Jiménezon
Charalambos Kostoulasassist Jan Paul van Hecke90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Brighton and Hove AlbionBournemouth

67%Possession33%
1.02Expected goals (xG)1.29
17Shots11
5Shots on target2
11Corners6
7Fouls6
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Offsides3
1Saves4
580Passes282

Line-ups

Brighton and Hove Albion

18Danny Welbeck
34Joel Veltman
5Lewis Dunk
30Pascal Gross
22Kaoru Mitoma
1Bart Verbruggen
24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
6Jan Paul van Hecke
8Brajan Gruda
13Jack Hinshelwood
25Diego Gómez

Bournemouth

4Lewis Cook
5Marcos Senesi
9Evanilson
3Adrien Truffert
16Marcus Tavernier
21Amine Adli
23James Hill
8Alex Scott
1Đorđe Petrović
22Eli Junior Kroupi
20Álex Jiménez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1482

Recent form

Brighton and Hove AlbionDLDWD

BournemouthDLDLW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bournemouth	38	+4	57
2	Brighton and Hove Albion	38	+6	53

Head to head

Bournemouth 2–1 Brighton and Hove Albion2025-09-13

Match preview

Brighton and Hove Albion host Bournemouth in the Premier League on 19 January 2026. Brighton and Hove Albion sit 8th on 53 points and Bournemouth are 6th on 57. Brighton and Hove Albion have won 1 of their last 5 (DLDWD), while Bournemouth have won 1 of 5 (DLDLW). In their last 1 meetings, Brighton and Hove Albion won 0, Bournemouth won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.