Brighton and Hove Albion vs Aston Villa: Prediction
📍 American Express Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
7 goals- ⚽Jan Paul van Heckeassist Mats Wieffer9'
- ⇄Stefanos Tzimason24'
- ⚽Pau Torresown goal29'
- 37'⚽Ollie Watkinsassist Evann Guessand
- Bart Verbruggenyellow card45'
- 45'⚽Ollie Watkinsassist Morgan Rogers
- 60'⚽Amadou Onanaassist Matty Cash
- ⇄Ferdi Kadıoğluon67'
- 70'⇄Ian Maatsenon
- 70'⇄Boubacar Kamaraon
- 75'John McGinnyellow card
- ⇄Brajan Grudaon77'
- 77'⇄John McGinnon
- ⇄Carlos Balebaon78'
- 78'⚽Donyell Malen
- ⚽Jan Paul van Heckeassist Jack Hinshelwood83'
- Diego Gómezyellow card85'
- 86'⇄Evann Guessandon
- 86'⇄Ollie Watkinson
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 56%Possession44%
- 2Expected goals (xG)2
- 16Shots14
- 7Shots on target10
- 5Corners6
- 10Fouls9
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 4Offsides1
- 6Saves4
- 473Passes362
Line-ups
Brighton and Hove Albion
- 5Lewis Dunk
- 29Maxim Cuyper
- 1Bart Verbruggen
- 24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
- 6Jan Paul van Hecke
- 17Carlos Baleba
- 8Brajan Gruda
- 27Mats Wieffer
- 11Yankuba Minteh
- 25Diego Gómez
- 9Stefanos Tzimas
Aston Villa
- 40Marco Bizot
- 11Ollie Watkins
- 7John McGinn
- 2Matty Cash
- 4Ezri Konsa
- 14Pau Torres
- 44Boubacar Kamara
- 24Amadou Onana
- 27Morgan Rogers
- 22Ian Maatsen
- 29Evann Guessand
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Brighton and Hove AlbionLWDWW
Aston VillaWLWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 38 | +7 | 65 |
| 2 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 38 | +6 | 53 |
Head to head
- Brighton and Hove Albion 4–0 Aston Villa2026-08-23
- Aston Villa 1–0 Brighton and Hove Albion2026-02-11
Match preview
Brighton and Hove Albion host Aston Villa in the Premier League on 3 December 2025. Brighton and Hove Albion sit 8th on 53 points and Aston Villa are 4th on 65. Brighton and Hove Albion have won 3 of their last 5 (LWDWW), while Aston Villa have won 4 of 5 (WLWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Brighton and Hove Albion won 1, Aston Villa won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
