Brighton and Hove Albion vs Arsenal: Prediction
📍 American Express Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- 9'⚽Bukayo Sakaassist Jurrien Timber
- 11'Cristhian Mosquerayellow card
- ⇄Kaoru Mitomaon46'
- Diego Gómezyellow card52'
- 59'⇄Viktor Gyökereson
- 60'⇄Gabriel Martinellion
- 64'⇄Cristhian Mosqueraon
- ⇄Jack Hinshelwoodon69'
- ⇄Mats Wiefferon77'
- ⇄Diego Gómezon77'
- ⇄Carlos Balebaon78'
- Olivier Boscagliyellow card80'
- 80'⇄Martín Zubimendion
- Ferdi Kadıoğluyellow card82'
- Yasin Ayariyellow card90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 60%Possession40%
- 0.82Expected goals (xG)0.47
- 11Shots7
- 3Shots on target2
- 4Corners3
- 14Fouls12
- 4Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides0
- 1Saves2
- 470Passes322
Line-ups
Brighton and Hove Albion
- 30Pascal Gross
- 21Olivier Boscagli
- 10Georginio Rutter
- 22Kaoru Mitoma
- 1Bart Verbruggen
- 24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
- 6Jan Paul van Hecke
- 17Carlos Baleba
- 27Mats Wieffer
- 13Jack Hinshelwood
- 25Diego Gómez
Arsenal
- 1David Raya
- 41Declan Rice
- 11Gabriel Martinelli
- 7Bukayo Saka
- 6Gabriel Magalhães
- 10Eberechi Eze
- 12Jurrien Timber
- 36Martín Zubimendi
- 14Viktor Gyökeres
- 5Piero Hincapié
- 3Cristhian Mosquera
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Brighton and Hove AlbionDLLWW
ArsenalWDDWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 38 | +6 | 53 |
Head to head
- Brighton and Hove Albion 3–0 Arsenal2026-09-19
- Arsenal 2–1 Brighton and Hove Albion2025-12-27
- Arsenal 2–0 Brighton and Hove Albion2025-10-29
Match preview
Brighton and Hove Albion host Arsenal in the Premier League on 4 March 2026. Brighton and Hove Albion sit 8th on 53 points and Arsenal are 1st on 85. Brighton and Hove Albion have won 2 of their last 5 (DLLWW), while Arsenal have won 3 of 5 (WDDWW). In their last 3 meetings, Brighton and Hove Albion won 1, Arsenal won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
