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FTMatchday 2

Brest vs Toulouse: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1485 – 1506

Recent form

BrestWDDLD
ToulouseDWWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Toulouse8+110
2Brest8+29

Head to head

  • Toulouse 2–0 Brest2025-08-24

Match preview

Brest host Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on 29 August 2026. Brest sit 13th on 9 points and Toulouse are 11th on 10. Brest have won 1 of their last 5 (WDDLD), while Toulouse have won 2 of 5 (DWWLL). In their last 1 meetings, Brest won 0, Toulouse won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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