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FTMatchday 4

Brest vs Paris Saint-Germain: Prediction

Brest0
FT
Paris Saint-Germain1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
BrestParis Saint-Germain
  1. 5'Ferran Torresassist Ousmane Dembélé
  2. Kamory Doumbiayellow card30'
  3. 39'Achraf Hakimion
  4. Giovani Versinion66'
  5. 66'Khvicha Kvaratskheliaon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1485 – 1578

Recent form

BrestDLDDW
Paris Saint-GermainWDDLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Paris Saint-Germain9+1120
2Brest8+29

Head to head

  • Brest 0–3 Paris Saint-Germain2025-10-25

Match preview

Brest host Paris Saint-Germain in the Ligue 1 on 13 September 2026. Brest sit 13th on 9 points and Paris Saint-Germain are 1st on 20. Brest have won 1 of their last 5 (DLDDW), while Paris Saint-Germain have won 2 of 5 (WDDLW). In their last 1 meetings, Brest won 0, Paris Saint-Germain won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming