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Kick-off · Matchday 12

Brest vs Paris FC: Prediction

Brest
42%Home win
Paris FC

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.50 – 1.31
Team rating (Elo)1485 – 1515

Recent form

BrestLLWDL
Paris FCDWLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Paris FC8+414
2Brest8+29

Head to head

  • Brest 1–2 Paris FC2025-09-14

Match preview

Brest host Paris FC in the Ligue 1 on 27 November 2026. Brest sit 13th on 9 points and Paris FC are 6th on 14. Brest have won 1 of their last 5 (LLWDL), while Paris FC have won 2 of 5 (DWLWL). In their last 1 meetings, Brest won 0, Paris FC won 1 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Brest 42%, the draw 25% and Paris FC 33%, so Brest are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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