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FTMatchday 4

Brest vs Paris FC: Prediction

📍 Stade Francis-Le Blé

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
BrestParis FC
  1. 14'Willem Geubbelsassist Maxime Lopez
  2. 23'Vincent Marchettiyellow card
  3. 34'Vincent Marchetti
  4. Mama Baldéon46'
  5. 46'Vincent Marchettion
  6. 51'Pierre Lees Melouyellow card
  7. Romain Del Castillopenalty52'
  8. 60'Moses Simonon
  9. 60'Willem Geubbelson
  10. Hamidou Makalouon68'
  11. Kamory Doumbiaon78'
  12. 82'Samir Cherguion
  13. 84'Otávio Ataide da Silvared card
  14. Bradley Lockoon86'
  15. 87'Ilan Kebbalon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BrestParis FC
  • 46%Possession54%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)2
  • 24Shots7
  • 8Shots on target4
  • 6Corners1
  • 11Fouls10
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards1
  • 3Offsides1
  • 2Saves6
  • 402Passes487

Line-ups

Brest

  • 77Kenny Lala
  • 10Romain Del Castillo
  • 17Mama Baldé
  • 19Ludovic Ajorque
  • 5Brendan Chardonnet
  • 13Joris Chotard
  • 2Bradley Locko
  • 23Kamory Doumbia
  • 30Grégoire Coudert
  • 4Michel Diaz
  • 33Hamidou Makalou

Paris FC

  • 9Willem Geubbels
  • 27Moses Simon
  • 33Pierre Lees Melou
  • 21Maxime Lopez
  • 28Thibault De Smet
  • 10Ilan Kebbal
  • 31Samir Chergui
  • 4Vincent Marchetti
  • 6Otávio Ataide da Silva
  • 16Obed Nkambadio
  • 5Moustapha Mbow

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1528

Recent form

BrestDLL
Paris FCLLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Paris FC9-310
2Brest9-39

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Brest host Paris FC in the Ligue 1 on 14 September 2025. Brest sit 12th on 9 points and Paris FC are 11th on 10. Brest have won 0 of their last 3 (DLL), while Paris FC have won 1 of 3 (LLW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming