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FTMatchday 5

Brest vs Nice: Prediction

📍 Stade Francis-Le Blé

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
BrestNice
  1. Ludovic Ajorqueassist Romain Del Castillo6'
  2. Romain Del Castilloassist Ludovic Ajorque9'
  3. 18'Charles Vanhoutteyellow card
  4. 25'Melvin Bardyellow card
  5. 30'Terem Igobor Moffiassist Hichem Boudaoui
  6. 56'Sofiane Diopyellow card
  7. Pathé Mboupon61'
  8. 63'Terem Igobor Moffion
  9. 63'Tiago Antunes Gouveiaon
  10. Rémy Labeauyellow card67'
  11. Joris Chotardassist Ludovic Ajorque70'
  12. 73'Charles Vanhoutteon
  13. 73'Hichem Boudaouion
  14. Rémy Labeauassist Ludovic Ajorque76'
  15. 79'Jeremie Bogaon
  16. Kamory Doumbiaon79'
  17. Ludovic Ajorqueon85'
  18. Romain Del Castilloon85'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BrestNice
  • 38%Possession62%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)2
  • 11Shots21
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 2Corners7
  • 17Fouls11
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides1
  • 3Saves1
  • 376Passes605

Line-ups

Brest

  • 77Kenny Lala
  • 10Romain Del Castillo
  • 19Ludovic Ajorque
  • 5Brendan Chardonnet
  • 13Joris Chotard
  • 8Hugo Magnetti
  • 2Bradley Locko
  • 23Kamory Doumbia
  • 30Grégoire Coudert
  • 99Pathé Mboup
  • 4Michel Diaz

Nice

  • 7Jeremie Boga
  • 9Terem Igobor Moffi
  • 92Jonathan Clauss
  • 10Sofiane Diop
  • 26Melvin Bard
  • 80Yehvann Diouf
  • 6Hichem Boudaoui
  • 24Charles Vanhoutte
  • 47Tiago Antunes Gouveia
  • 28Juma Bah
  • 37Kojo Peprah Oppong

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1514

Recent form

BrestDLLL
NiceLWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Nice9-114
2Brest9-39

Head to head

  • Brest 1–2 Nice2026-10-23

Match preview

Brest host Nice in the Ligue 1 on 20 September 2025. Brest sit 12th on 9 points and Nice are 8th on 14. Brest have won 0 of their last 4 (DLLL), while Nice have won 2 of 4 (LWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Brest won 0, Nice won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming