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FTMatchday 1

Brest vs Lille: Prediction

📍 Stade Francis-Le Blé

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

6 goals
BrestLille
  1. 11'Olivier Giroudassist Félix Andrade Sanches Correia
  2. 15'Nathan Ngoyyellow card
  3. Kamory Doumbiayellow card18'
  4. 26'Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
  5. Kamory Doumbia34'
  6. Brendan Chardonnetyellow card35'
  7. 46'Marius Sivertsen Broholmon
  8. Kamory Doumbiaassist Mama Baldé51'
  9. 52'Ousmane Touréon
  10. 66'Ngal'ayel Mukauassist Nathan Ngoy
  11. 72'Romain Perraudon
  12. Julien Cardinalassist Kenny Lala75'
  13. 85'Ngal'ayel Mukauon
  14. 85'Hákon Arnar Haraldssonon
  15. Mama Baldéon90'
  16. Kamory Doumbiaon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BrestLille
  • 46%Possession54%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 18Shots10
  • 5Shots on target6
  • 2Corners2
  • 11Fouls13
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 3Saves2
  • 366Passes443

Line-ups

Brest

  • 77Kenny Lala
  • 10Romain Del Castillo
  • 1Radosław Majecki
  • 17Mama Baldé
  • 19Ludovic Ajorque
  • 5Brendan Chardonnet
  • 20Pierre Lees Melou
  • 8Hugo Magnetti
  • 2Bradley Locko
  • 23Kamory Doumbia
  • 26Julien Cardinal

Lille

  • 9Olivier Giroud
  • 21Benjamin André
  • 15Romain Perraud
  • 1Berke Özer
  • 4Alexsandro
  • 10Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
  • 3Nathan Ngoy
  • 17Ngal'ayel Mukau
  • 27Félix Andrade Sanches Correia
  • 14Marius Sivertsen Broholm
  • 36Ousmane Touré

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1462

Recent form

Brest–
Lille–
#TeamPGDPts
1Lille9+1117
2Brest9-39

Head to head

  • Lille 1–1 Brest2026-10-17

Match preview

Brest host Lille in the Ligue 1 on 17 August 2025. Brest sit 12th on 9 points and Lille are 5th on 17. In their last 1 meetings, Brest won 0, Lille won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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