FTMatchday 21

Brentford vs Sunderland: Prediction

📍 Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford3

Sunderland0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

BrentfordSunderland

Igor Thiagoassist Vitaly Janelt30'
Igor Thiagoyellow card43'
45'Trai Humeyellow card
52'Simon Adingraon
52'Christopher Riggon
Keane Lewis-Potteron61'
Vitaly Janeltyellow card63'
Igor Thiagoassist Kevin Schade65'
Yehor Yarmolyukassist Nathan Michael Collins73'
Mathias Jensenon76'
79'Daniel Ballardon
79'Lutsharel Geertruidaon
Michael Kayodeon82'
Igor Thiagoon82'
83'Omar Aldereteon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BrentfordSunderland

51%Possession49%
3Expected goals (xG)1
18Shots11
6Shots on target3
7Corners4
13Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Offsides1
3Saves3
388Passes383

Line-ups

Brentford

3Rico Henry
20Kristoffer Ajer
1Caoimhín Kelleher
8Mathias Jensen
27Vitaly Janelt
22Nathan Michael Collins
23Keane Lewis-Potter
7Kevin Schade
33Michael Kayode
18Yehor Yarmolyuk
9Igor Thiago

Sunderland

34Granit Xhaka
20Nordi Mukiele
6Lutsharel Geertruida
15Omar Alderete
9Brian Brobbey
28Enzo Le Fée
5Daniel Ballard
24Simon Adingra
32Trai Hume
11Christopher Rigg
22Robin Roefs

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1541 – 1498

Recent form

BrentfordDWWDW

SunderlandWDDDD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Sunderland	38	-6	54
2	Brentford	38	+3	53

Head to head

Brentford 1–1 Sunderland2026-09-05
Sunderland 2–1 Brentford2025-08-30

Match preview

Brentford host Sunderland in the Premier League on 7 January 2026. Brentford sit 9th on 53 points and Sunderland are 7th on 54. Brentford have won 3 of their last 5 (DWWDW), while Sunderland have won 1 of 5 (WDDDD). In their last 2 meetings, Brentford won 0, Sunderland won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.