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FTMatchday 11

Brentford vs Newcastle United: Prediction

📍 Brentford Community Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
BrentfordNewcastle United
  1. 24'Joelintonon
  2. 27'Harvey Barnes
  3. 49'Dan Burnyellow card
  4. Kevin Schade56'
  5. Dango Ouattarayellow card61'
  6. Aaron Hickeyon70'
  7. 73'Dan Burnyellow card
  8. 73'Dan Burnred card
  9. 77'Nick Popeon
  10. 77'Harvey Barneson
  11. 77'Jacob Murphyon
  12. 77'Sandro Tonalion
  13. Igor Thiagopenalty78'
  14. Mikkel Damsgaardon84'
  15. Yehor Yarmolyukon84'
  16. Michael Kayodeyellow card87'
  17. 90'Kieran Trippieryellow card
  18. Dango Ouattaraon90'
  19. 90'Bruno Guimarãeson
  20. Igor Thiago90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BrentfordNewcastle United
  • 49%Possession51%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)0
  • 15Shots5
  • 7Shots on target1
  • 6Corners2
  • 23Fouls0
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards1
  • 2Offsides0
  • 0Saves4
  • 420Passes437

Line-ups

Brentford

  • 6Jordan Henderson
  • 4Sepp van den Berg
  • 1Caoimhín Kelleher
  • 24Mikkel Damsgaard
  • 2Aaron Hickey
  • 22Nathan Michael Collins
  • 7Kevin Schade
  • 19Dango Ouattara
  • 33Michael Kayode
  • 18Yehor Yarmolyuk
  • 9Igor Thiago

Newcastle United

  • 2Kieran Trippier
  • 23Jacob Murphy
  • 33Dan Burn
  • 1Nick Pope
  • 11Harvey Barnes
  • 7Joelinton
  • 8Sandro Tonali
  • 27Nick Woltemade
  • 4Sven Botman
  • 39Bruno Guimarães
  • 12Malick Thiaw

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1541 – 1529

Recent form

BrentfordLWWWL
Newcastle UnitedWWWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Brentford38+353
2Newcastle United38-249

Head to head

  • Newcastle United 2–3 Brentford2026-02-07

Match preview

Brentford host Newcastle United in the Premier League on 9 November 2025. Brentford sit 9th on 53 points and Newcastle United are 12th on 49. Brentford have won 3 of their last 5 (LWWWL), while Newcastle United have won 4 of 5 (WWWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Brentford won 1, Newcastle United won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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