Kick-off · Sat, 30 Jan, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 23
Brentford vs Manchester United: Prediction
Brentford45%Home win
Manchester United45% Home win25% Draw30% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.57 – 1.25
Team rating (Elo)1521 – 1532
Recent form
BrentfordDWDLDManchester UnitedLDDDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brentford | 8 | +5 | 11 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 8 | -3 | 7 |
Head to head
- Manchester United 2–1 Brentford2026-04-27
- Brentford 3–1 Manchester United2025-09-27
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
