Kick-off · Sat, 5 Dec, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 14
Brentford vs Manchester City: Prediction
Brentford47%Away win
Manchester City29% Home win24% Draw47% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.22 – 1.61
Team rating (Elo)1523 – 1645
Recent form
BrentfordDWDLDManchester CityWWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Brentford | 8 | +5 | 11 |
Head to head
- Manchester City 3–0 Brentford2026-05-09
- Brentford 0–1 Manchester City2025-10-05
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
