Brentford vs Manchester City: Prediction
📍 Brentford Community Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- 9'⚽Erling Haalandassist Joško Gvardiol
- 22'⇄Rodrion
- Kevin Schadeyellow card45'
- ⇄Igor Thiagoon68'
- ⇄Mikkel Damsgaardon68'
- Jordan Hendersonyellow card70'
- ⇄Yehor Yarmolyukon73'
- ⇄Jordan Hendersonon74'
- 76'⇄Oscar Bobbon
- 77'⇄Tijjani Reijnderson
- 77'Matheus Nunesyellow card
- 83'Nico O'Reillyyellow card
- Dango Ouattarayellow card84'
- ⇄Kristoffer Ajeron90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 30%Possession70%
- 1Expected goals (xG)1
- 6Shots10
- 1Shots on target4
- 3Corners2
- 10Fouls5
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides1
- 3Saves1
- 297Passes747
Line-ups
Brentford
- 6Jordan Henderson
- 20Kristoffer Ajer
- 4Sepp van den Berg
- 1Caoimhín Kelleher
- 24Mikkel Damsgaard
- 2Aaron Hickey
- 22Nathan Michael Collins
- 7Kevin Schade
- 33Michael Kayode
- 18Yehor Yarmolyuk
- 9Igor Thiago
Manchester City
- 25Gianluigi Donnarumma
- 3Ruben Dias
- 47Phil Foden
- 16Rodri
- 9Erling Haaland
- 4Tijjani Reijnders
- 24Joško Gvardiol
- 27Matheus Nunes
- 26Savinho
- 52Oscar Bobb
- 33Nico O'Reilly
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | +42 | 78 | |
| 2 | 38 | +3 | 53 |
Head to head
- Manchester City 3–0 Brentford2026-05-09
Match preview
Brentford host Manchester City in the Premier League on 5 October 2025. Brentford sit 9th on 53 points and Manchester City are 2nd on 78. Brentford have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDLW), while Manchester City have won 3 of 5 (WDWWD). In their last 1 meetings, Brentford won 0, Manchester City won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

