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FTMatchday 7

Brentford vs Manchester City: Prediction

📍 Brentford Community Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
BrentfordManchester City
  1. 9'Erling Haalandassist Joško Gvardiol
  2. 22'Rodrion
  3. Kevin Schadeyellow card45'
  4. Igor Thiagoon68'
  5. Mikkel Damsgaardon68'
  6. Jordan Hendersonyellow card70'
  7. Yehor Yarmolyukon73'
  8. Jordan Hendersonon74'
  9. 76'Oscar Bobbon
  10. 77'Tijjani Reijnderson
  11. 77'Matheus Nunesyellow card
  12. 83'Nico O'Reillyyellow card
  13. Dango Ouattarayellow card84'
  14. Kristoffer Ajeron90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BrentfordManchester City
  • 30%Possession70%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 6Shots10
  • 1Shots on target4
  • 3Corners2
  • 10Fouls5
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 3Saves1
  • 297Passes747

Line-ups

Brentford

  • 6Jordan Henderson
  • 20Kristoffer Ajer
  • 4Sepp van den Berg
  • 1Caoimhín Kelleher
  • 24Mikkel Damsgaard
  • 2Aaron Hickey
  • 22Nathan Michael Collins
  • 7Kevin Schade
  • 33Michael Kayode
  • 18Yehor Yarmolyuk
  • 9Igor Thiago

Manchester City

  • 25Gianluigi Donnarumma
  • 3Ruben Dias
  • 47Phil Foden
  • 16Rodri
  • 9Erling Haaland
  • 4Tijjani Reijnders
  • 24Joško Gvardiol
  • 27Matheus Nunes
  • 26Savinho
  • 52Oscar Bobb
  • 33Nico O'Reilly

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1541 – 1535

Recent form

BrentfordWLDLW
Manchester CityWDWWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City38+4278
2Brentford38+353

Head to head

  • Manchester City 3–0 Brentford2026-05-09

Match preview

Brentford host Manchester City in the Premier League on 5 October 2025. Brentford sit 9th on 53 points and Manchester City are 2nd on 78. Brentford have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDLW), while Manchester City have won 3 of 5 (WDWWD). In their last 1 meetings, Brentford won 0, Manchester City won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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