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FTMatchday 16

Brentford vs Leeds United: Prediction

📍 Brentford Community Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
BrentfordLeeds United
  1. Aaron Hickeyon61'
  2. Keane Lewis-Potteron61'
  3. Jordan Henderson70'
  4. 73'Ao Tanakaon
  5. 73'Jaka Bijolon
  6. Vitaly Janelton80'
  7. Mathias Jensenon81'
  8. 82'Dominic Calvert-Lewinassist Degnand Gnonto
  9. 89'Gabriel Gudmundssonon
  10. 90'Noah Okaforon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BrentfordLeeds United
  • 57%Possession43%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 7Shots17
  • 2Shots on target4
  • 0Corners3
  • 8Fouls9
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides0
  • 3Saves1
  • 495Passes362

Line-ups

Brentford

  • 6Jordan Henderson
  • 4Sepp van den Berg
  • 1Caoimhín Kelleher
  • 2Aaron Hickey
  • 8Mathias Jensen
  • 27Vitaly Janelt
  • 22Nathan Michael Collins
  • 23Keane Lewis-Potter
  • 19Dango Ouattara
  • 33Michael Kayode
  • 9Igor Thiago

Leeds United

  • 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
  • 6Joe Rodon
  • 15Jaka Bijol
  • 4Ethan Ampadu
  • 19Noah Okafor
  • 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
  • 5Pascal Struijk
  • 2Jayden Bogle
  • 18Anton Stach
  • 22Ao Tanaka
  • 1Lucas Perri

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1541 – 1502

Recent form

BrentfordWLWLL
Leeds UnitedLLLWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Brentford38+353
2Leeds United38-747

Head to head

  • Leeds United 1–1 Brentford2026-08-30
  • Leeds United 0–0 Brentford2026-03-21

Match preview

Brentford host Leeds United in the Premier League on 14 December 2025. Brentford sit 9th on 53 points and Leeds United are 14th on 47. Brentford have won 2 of their last 5 (WLWLL), while Leeds United have won 1 of 5 (LLLWD). In their last 2 meetings, Brentford won 0, Leeds United won 0 and 2 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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