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FTMatchday 4

Brentford vs Chelsea: Prediction

📍 Brentford Community Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
BrentfordChelsea
  1. Igor Thiagoyellow card8'
  2. 30'Jorrel Hatoyellow card
  3. Kevin Schadeassist Jordan Henderson35'
  4. 46'Facundo Buonanotteon
  5. 46'Wesley Fofanaon
  6. 46'Jorrel Hatoon
  7. 56'Jamie Bynoe-Gittenson
  8. 61'Cole Palmerassist João Pedro
  9. Yehor Yarmolyukyellow card64'
  10. Igor Thiagoon72'
  11. Mathias Jensenon73'
  12. 79'João Pedroon
  13. Ethan Pinnockyellow card82'
  14. Michael Kayodeon83'
  15. Ethan Pinnockon83'
  16. 85'Moisés Caicedo
  17. 90'Tyrique Georgeyellow card
  18. Keane Lewis-Potteron90'
  19. Fabio Carvalhoassist Kristoffer Ajer90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BrentfordChelsea
  • 33%Possession67%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 7Shots16
  • 4Shots on target6
  • 5Corners6
  • 13Fouls9
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides4
  • 4Saves3
  • 265Passes566

Line-ups

Brentford

  • 6Jordan Henderson
  • 5Ethan Pinnock
  • 4Sepp van den Berg
  • 1Caoimhín Kelleher
  • 8Mathias Jensen
  • 22Nathan Michael Collins
  • 23Keane Lewis-Potter
  • 7Kevin Schade
  • 33Michael Kayode
  • 18Yehor Yarmolyuk
  • 9Igor Thiago

Chelsea

  • 4Tosin Adarabioyo
  • 1Robert Sanchez
  • 20João Pedro
  • 7Pedro Neto
  • 29Wesley Fofana
  • 23Trevoh Chalobah
  • 25Moisés Caicedo
  • 11Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
  • 8Enzo Fernández
  • 40Facundo Buonanotte
  • 21Jorrel Hato

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1541 – 1524

Recent form

BrentfordLWWL
ChelseaDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Brentford38+353
2Chelsea38+652

Head to head

  • Brentford 3–0 Chelsea2026-09-18
  • Chelsea 2–0 Brentford2026-01-17

Match preview

Brentford host Chelsea in the Premier League on 13 September 2025. Brentford sit 9th on 53 points and Chelsea are 10th on 52. Brentford have won 2 of their last 4 (LWWL), while Chelsea have won 2 of 3 (DWW). In their last 2 meetings, Brentford won 1, Chelsea won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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