Brentford vs Burnley: Prediction
📍 Brentford Community Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- 16'Hannibal Mejbriyellow card
- 60'⇄Hannibal Mejbrion
- ⇄Aaron Hickeyon74'
- ⇄Kevin Schadeon75'
- 75'⇄Loum Tchaounaon
- 75'⇄Florentino Luíson
- 75'⇄Lyle Fosteron
- 77'Axel Tuanzebeyellow card
- 81'⇄Josh Cullenon
- ⚽Igor Thiagopenalty81'
- ⇄Mathias Jensenon85'
- 85'⚽Zian Flemmingpenalty
- ⚽Igor Thiago86'
- ⇄Igor Thiagoon90'
- ⚽Dango Ouattaraassist Jordan Henderson90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 52%Possession48%
- 3Expected goals (xG)1
- 14Shots6
- 4Shots on target2
- 5Corners6
- 7Fouls7
- 0Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides1
- 1Saves1
- 406Passes379
Line-ups
Brentford
- 6Jordan Henderson
- 4Sepp van den Berg
- 1Caoimhín Kelleher
- 24Mikkel Damsgaard
- 2Aaron Hickey
- 8Mathias Jensen
- 22Nathan Michael Collins
- 7Kevin Schade
- 19Dango Ouattara
- 33Michael Kayode
- 9Igor Thiago
Burnley
- 2Kyle Walker
- 1Martin Dubravka
- 6Axel Tuanzebe
- 24Josh Cullen
- 16Florentino Luís
- 19Zian Flemming
- 9Lyle Foster
- 5Maxime Esteve
- 17Loum Tchaouna
- 28Hannibal Mejbri
- 3Quilindschy Hartman
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | +3 | 53 | |
| 2 | 38 | -37 | 22 |
Head to head
- Burnley 3–4 Brentford2026-02-28
Match preview
Brentford host Burnley in the Premier League on 29 November 2025. Brentford sit 9th on 53 points and Burnley are 19th on 22. Brentford have won 3 of their last 5 (WWLWL), while Burnley have won 2 of 5 (WWLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Brentford won 1, Burnley won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

