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FTMatchday 13

Brentford vs Burnley: Prediction

📍 Brentford Community Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
BrentfordBurnley
  1. 16'Hannibal Mejbriyellow card
  2. 60'Hannibal Mejbrion
  3. Aaron Hickeyon74'
  4. Kevin Schadeon75'
  5. 75'Loum Tchaounaon
  6. 75'Florentino Luíson
  7. 75'Lyle Fosteron
  8. 77'Axel Tuanzebeyellow card
  9. 81'Josh Cullenon
  10. Igor Thiagopenalty81'
  11. Mathias Jensenon85'
  12. 85'Zian Flemmingpenalty
  13. Igor Thiago86'
  14. Igor Thiagoon90'
  15. Dango Ouattaraassist Jordan Henderson90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BrentfordBurnley
  • 52%Possession48%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)1
  • 14Shots6
  • 4Shots on target2
  • 5Corners6
  • 7Fouls7
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides1
  • 1Saves1
  • 406Passes379

Line-ups

Brentford

  • 6Jordan Henderson
  • 4Sepp van den Berg
  • 1Caoimhín Kelleher
  • 24Mikkel Damsgaard
  • 2Aaron Hickey
  • 8Mathias Jensen
  • 22Nathan Michael Collins
  • 7Kevin Schade
  • 19Dango Ouattara
  • 33Michael Kayode
  • 9Igor Thiago

Burnley

  • 2Kyle Walker
  • 1Martin Dubravka
  • 6Axel Tuanzebe
  • 24Josh Cullen
  • 16Florentino Luís
  • 19Zian Flemming
  • 9Lyle Foster
  • 5Maxime Esteve
  • 17Loum Tchaouna
  • 28Hannibal Mejbri
  • 3Quilindschy Hartman

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1541 – 1497

Recent form

BrentfordWWLWL
BurnleyWWLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Brentford38+353
2Burnley38-3722

Head to head

  • Burnley 3–4 Brentford2026-02-28

Match preview

Brentford host Burnley in the Premier League on 29 November 2025. Brentford sit 9th on 53 points and Burnley are 19th on 22. Brentford have won 3 of their last 5 (WWLWL), while Burnley have won 2 of 5 (WWLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Brentford won 1, Burnley won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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