FTMatchday 27

Brentford vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Prediction

📍 Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford0

Brighton and Hove Albion2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

BrentfordBrighton and Hove Albion

12'Mats Wiefferyellow card
30'Diego Gómez
Aaron Hickeyon45'
45'Danny Welbeck
Vitaly Janelton46'
Keane Lewis-Potteron46'
54'Ferdi Kadıoğluyellow card
65'Mats Wiefferon
Jordan Hendersonon67'
76'Diego Gómezon
Kristoffer Ajeron81'
90'James Milneron
Yehor Yarmolyukyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BrentfordBrighton and Hove Albion

52%Possession48%
1.60Expected goals (xG)1.09
13Shots11
3Shots on target7
6Corners4
9Fouls14
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Offsides1
5Saves4
439Passes416

Line-ups

Brentford

6Jordan Henderson
3Rico Henry
20Kristoffer Ajer
4Sepp van den Berg
1Caoimhín Kelleher
2Aaron Hickey
8Mathias Jensen
27Vitaly Janelt
23Keane Lewis-Potter
19Dango Ouattara
9Igor Thiago

Brighton and Hove Albion

18Danny Welbeck
20James Milner
5Lewis Dunk
30Pascal Gross
22Kaoru Mitoma
1Bart Verbruggen
24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
6Jan Paul van Hecke
27Mats Wieffer
13Jack Hinshelwood
25Diego Gómez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1541 – 1535

Recent form

BrentfordLLWWD

Brighton and Hove AlbionDLDLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Brighton and Hove Albion	38	+6	53
2	Brentford	38	+3	53

Head to head

Brighton and Hove Albion 2–1 Brentford2025-11-22

Match preview

Brentford host Brighton and Hove Albion in the Premier League on 21 February 2026. Brentford sit 9th on 53 points and Brighton and Hove Albion are 8th on 53. Brentford have won 2 of their last 5 (LLWWD), while Brighton and Hove Albion have won 0 of 5 (DLDLL). In their last 1 meetings, Brentford won 0, Brighton and Hove Albion won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.