Kick-off · Sat, 20 Mar, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 30
Brentford vs Bournemouth: Prediction
Brentford45%Home win
Bournemouth45% Home win25% Draw30% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.58 – 1.24
Team rating (Elo)1523 – 1531
Recent form
BrentfordDWDLDBournemouthDLLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brentford | 8 | +5 | 11 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 8 | -1 | 9 |
Head to head
- Bournemouth 2–2 Brentford2026-09-12
- Bournemouth 0–0 Brentford2026-03-03
- Brentford 4–1 Bournemouth2025-12-27
- Bournemouth 0–2 Brentford2025-08-26
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
