FTMatchday 18

Brentford vs Bournemouth: Prediction

📍 Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford4

Bournemouth1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals

BrentfordBournemouth

Kevin Schadeassist Igor Thiago7'
Đorđe Petrovićown goal39'
46'Bafodé Diakitéon
46'Adam Smithon
46'Eli Junior Kroupion
Kevin Schadeassist Yehor Yarmolyuk51'
Mathias Jensenyellow card75'
75'Antoine Semenyo
Rico Henryon77'
Mathias Jensenon77'
77'Adrien Trufferton
Michael Kayodeyellow card82'
82'Justin Kluivertyellow card
84'Alex Scotton
Keane Lewis-Potteron89'
Yehor Yarmolyukon89'
90'Marcus Tavernieryellow card
Kevin Schadeassist Mikkel Damsgaard90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BrentfordBournemouth

49%Possession51%
4Expected goals (xG)3
15Shots20
7Shots on target10
2Corners15
9Fouls8
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Offsides1
8Saves4
395Passes376

Line-ups

Brentford

3Rico Henry
20Kristoffer Ajer
1Caoimhín Kelleher
8Mathias Jensen
27Vitaly Janelt
22Nathan Michael Collins
23Keane Lewis-Potter
7Kevin Schade
33Michael Kayode
18Yehor Yarmolyuk
9Igor Thiago

Bournemouth

4Lewis Cook
15Adam Smith
24Antoine Semenyo
5Marcos Senesi
3Adrien Truffert
16Marcus Tavernier
18Bafodé Diakité
8Alex Scott
1Đorđe Petrović
22Eli Junior Kroupi
20Álex Jiménez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1541 – 1482

Recent form

BrentfordWLLDW

BournemouthLLDDD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bournemouth	38	+4	57
2	Brentford	38	+3	53

Head to head

Bournemouth 2–2 Brentford2026-09-12
Bournemouth 0–0 Brentford2026-03-03
Bournemouth 0–2 Brentford2025-08-26

Match preview

Brentford host Bournemouth in the Premier League on 27 December 2025. Brentford sit 9th on 53 points and Bournemouth are 6th on 57. Brentford have won 2 of their last 5 (WLLDW), while Bournemouth have won 0 of 5 (LLDDD). In their last 3 meetings, Brentford won 1, Bournemouth won 0 and 2 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.