Kick-off · Thu, 3 Dec, 01:30 am ISTMatchday 13
Brentford vs Arsenal: Prediction
Brentford46%Away win
Arsenal29% Home win25% Draw46% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.22 – 1.61
Team rating (Elo)1523 – 1644
Recent form
BrentfordDWDLDArsenalWWWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Brentford | 8 | +5 | 11 |
Head to head
- Brentford 1–1 Arsenal2026-02-12
- Arsenal 2–0 Brentford2025-12-03
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
