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FTMatchday 26

Brentford vs Arsenal: Prediction

📍 Brentford Community Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
BrentfordArsenal
  1. Vitaly Janeltyellow card4'
  2. 20'Gabriel Magalhãesyellow card
  3. 30'Viktor Gyökeresyellow card
  4. 46'Eberechi Ezeon
  5. Mathias Jensenyellow card53'
  6. 61'Noni Maduekeassist Piero Hincapié
  7. 70'Noni Maduekeon
  8. Keane Lewis-Potterassist Sepp van den Berg71'
  9. Yehor Yarmolyukon73'
  10. Keane Lewis-Potteron73'
  11. 81'Piero Hincapiéon
  12. 81'Leandro Trossardon
  13. Dango Ouattarayellow card86'
  14. Rico Henryon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BrentfordArsenal
  • 40%Possession60%
  • 1.29Expected goals (xG)0.60
  • 12Shots7
  • 3Shots on target2
  • 6Corners4
  • 12Fouls11
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides0
  • 1Saves2
  • 305Passes448

Line-ups

Brentford

  • 3Rico Henry
  • 20Kristoffer Ajer
  • 4Sepp van den Berg
  • 1Caoimhín Kelleher
  • 8Mathias Jensen
  • 27Vitaly Janelt
  • 23Keane Lewis-Potter
  • 19Dango Ouattara
  • 33Michael Kayode
  • 18Yehor Yarmolyuk
  • 9Igor Thiago

Arsenal

  • 1David Raya
  • 19Leandro Trossard
  • 41Declan Rice
  • 20Noni Madueke
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães
  • 10Eberechi Eze
  • 12Jurrien Timber
  • 36Martín Zubimendi
  • 14Viktor Gyökeres
  • 5Piero Hincapié
  • 3Cristhian Mosquera

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1541 – 1532

Recent form

BrentfordWLLWW
ArsenalDDLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal38+4485
2Brentford38+353

Head to head

  • Arsenal 2–0 Brentford2025-12-03

Match preview

Brentford host Arsenal in the Premier League on 12 February 2026. Brentford sit 9th on 53 points and Arsenal are 1st on 85. Brentford have won 3 of their last 5 (WLLWW), while Arsenal have won 2 of 5 (DDLWW). In their last 1 meetings, Brentford won 0, Arsenal won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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