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FTMatchday 28

Bournemouth vs Sunderland: Prediction

📍 Vitality Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
BournemouthSunderland
  1. 18'Eliezer Mayenda
  2. 33'Noah Sadikiyellow card
  3. David Brookson46'
  4. Tyler Adamsyellow card58'
  5. Tyler Adamson62'
  6. Evanilsonassist Marcus Tavernier63'
  7. 69'Chemsdine Talbion
  8. 74'Robin Roefsyellow card
  9. 76'Granit Xhakaon
  10. Eli Junior Kroupion81'
  11. Marcus Tavernieron81'
  12. Evanilsonon85'
  13. Alex Tóthyellow card87'
  14. Ryan Christieyellow card90'
  15. Alex Scottyellow card90'
  16. 90'Eliezer Mayendaon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BournemouthSunderland
  • 62%Possession38%
  • 1.50Expected goals (xG)1.42
  • 21Shots8
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 7Corners3
  • 15Fouls12
  • 4Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 3Saves4
  • 451Passes280

Line-ups

Bournemouth

  • 7David Brooks
  • 12Tyler Adams
  • 5Marcos Senesi
  • 3Adrien Truffert
  • 16Marcus Tavernier
  • 23James Hill
  • 8Alex Scott
  • 1Đorđe Petrović
  • 22Eli Junior Kroupi
  • 20Álex Jiménez
  • 37Rayan

Sunderland

  • 34Granit Xhaka
  • 6Lutsharel Geertruida
  • 15Omar Alderete
  • 28Enzo Le Fée
  • 5Daniel Ballard
  • 19Habib Diarra
  • 32Trai Hume
  • 27Noah Sadiki
  • 12Eliezer Mayenda
  • 22Robin Roefs
  • 7Chemsdine Talbi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1542 – 1439

Recent form

BournemouthWWDWD
SunderlandLWLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Bournemouth38+457
2Sunderland38-654

Head to head

  • Bournemouth 2–0 Sunderland2026-10-18
  • Sunderland 3–2 Bournemouth2025-11-29

Match preview

Bournemouth host Sunderland in the Premier League on 28 February 2026. Bournemouth sit 6th on 57 points and Sunderland are 7th on 54. Bournemouth have won 3 of their last 5 (WWDWD), while Sunderland have won 1 of 5 (LWLLL). In their last 2 meetings, Bournemouth won 1, Sunderland won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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