Bournemouth vs Newcastle United: Prediction
📍 Vitality Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
0 goals- Álex Jiménezyellow card45'
- ⇄Álex Jiménezon46'
- 62'⇄Joe Willockon
- 62'⇄Jacob Murphyon
- ⇄David Brookson63'
- ⇄Alex Scotton63'
- Bafodé Diakitéyellow card74'
- ⇄Marcus Tavernieron75'
- 77'Malick Thiawyellow card
- 84'⇄Malick Thiawon
- 84'⇄Nick Woltemadeon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 56%Possession44%
- 1Expected goals (xG)0
- 10Shots4
- 2Shots on target1
- 5Corners2
- 7Fouls10
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides2
- 1Saves2
- 494Passes383
Line-ups
Bournemouth
- 7David Brooks
- 24Antoine Semenyo
- 12Tyler Adams
- 5Marcos Senesi
- 9Evanilson
- 3Adrien Truffert
- 16Marcus Tavernier
- 18Bafodé Diakité
- 8Alex Scott
- 1Đorđe Petrović
- 20Álex Jiménez
Newcastle United
- 23Jacob Murphy
- 33Dan Burn
- 1Nick Pope
- 8Sandro Tonali
- 27Nick Woltemade
- 4Sven Botman
- 28Joe Willock
- 12Malick Thiaw
- 21Valentino Livramento
- 3Lewis Hall
- 67Lewis Miley
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | +4 | 57 | |
| 2 | 38 | -2 | 49 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 2–2 Bournemouth2026-09-05
- Newcastle United 1–2 Bournemouth2026-04-18
Match preview
Bournemouth host Newcastle United in the Premier League on 21 September 2025. Bournemouth sit 6th on 57 points and Newcastle United are 12th on 49. Bournemouth have won 3 of their last 5 (LWLWW), while Newcastle United have won 1 of 5 (DLDWL). In their last 2 meetings, Bournemouth won 1, Newcastle United won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

