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FTMatchday 5

Bournemouth vs Newcastle United: Prediction

📍 Vitality Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
BournemouthNewcastle United
  1. Álex Jiménezyellow card45'
  2. Álex Jiménezon46'
  3. 62'Joe Willockon
  4. 62'Jacob Murphyon
  5. David Brookson63'
  6. Alex Scotton63'
  7. Bafodé Diakitéyellow card74'
  8. Marcus Tavernieron75'
  9. 77'Malick Thiawyellow card
  10. 84'Malick Thiawon
  11. 84'Nick Woltemadeon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BournemouthNewcastle United
  • 56%Possession44%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)0
  • 10Shots4
  • 2Shots on target1
  • 5Corners2
  • 7Fouls10
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides2
  • 1Saves2
  • 494Passes383

Line-ups

Bournemouth

  • 7David Brooks
  • 24Antoine Semenyo
  • 12Tyler Adams
  • 5Marcos Senesi
  • 9Evanilson
  • 3Adrien Truffert
  • 16Marcus Tavernier
  • 18Bafodé Diakité
  • 8Alex Scott
  • 1Đorđe Petrović
  • 20Álex Jiménez

Newcastle United

  • 23Jacob Murphy
  • 33Dan Burn
  • 1Nick Pope
  • 8Sandro Tonali
  • 27Nick Woltemade
  • 4Sven Botman
  • 28Joe Willock
  • 12Malick Thiaw
  • 21Valentino Livramento
  • 3Lewis Hall
  • 67Lewis Miley

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1529

Recent form

BournemouthLWLWW
Newcastle UnitedDLDWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Bournemouth38+457
2Newcastle United38-249

Head to head

  • Newcastle United 2–2 Bournemouth2026-09-05
  • Newcastle United 1–2 Bournemouth2026-04-18

Match preview

Bournemouth host Newcastle United in the Premier League on 21 September 2025. Bournemouth sit 6th on 57 points and Newcastle United are 12th on 49. Bournemouth have won 3 of their last 5 (LWLWW), while Newcastle United have won 1 of 5 (DLDWL). In their last 2 meetings, Bournemouth won 1, Newcastle United won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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