FTMatchday 31

Bournemouth vs Manchester United: Prediction

📍 Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth2

Manchester United2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

BournemouthManchester United

28'Casemiroyellow card
Álex Jiménezyellow card59'
61'Bruno Fernandespenalty
Ryan Christieassist Adrien Truffert67'
71'Bryan Mbeumoon
71'James Hillown goal
Álex Jiménezon73'
Amine Adlion73'
Ryan Christieon73'
78'Harry Maguirered card
Eli Junior Kroupipenalty81'
82'Casemiroon
82'Matheus Cunhaon
Rayanon87'
Adam Smithyellow card90'
90'Benjamin Šeškoyellow card
90'Amad Dialloon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BournemouthManchester United

55%Possession45%
1.80Expected goals (xG)1.77
16Shots14
5Shots on target5
6Corners8
10Fouls9
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
2Offsides0
4Saves3
502Passes415

Line-ups

Bournemouth

10Ryan Christie
5Marcos Senesi
9Evanilson
3Adrien Truffert
16Marcus Tavernier
21Amine Adli
23James Hill
8Alex Scott
1Đorđe Petrović
20Álex Jiménez
37Rayan

Manchester United

23Luke Shaw
5Harry Maguire
18Casemiro
8Bruno Fernandes
2Diogo Dalot
10Matheus Cunha
16Amad Diallo
19Bryan Mbeumo
31Senne Lammens
15Leny Yoro
37Kobbie Mainoo

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1502

Recent form

BournemouthWDDDD

Manchester UnitedDWWLW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester United	38	+19	71
2	Bournemouth	38	+4	57

Head to head

Manchester United 0–3 Bournemouth2026-10-25
Manchester United 4–4 Bournemouth2025-12-15

Match preview

Bournemouth host Manchester United in the Premier League on 20 March 2026. Bournemouth sit 6th on 57 points and Manchester United are 3rd on 71. Bournemouth have won 1 of their last 5 (WDDDD), while Manchester United have won 3 of 5 (DWWLW). In their last 2 meetings, Bournemouth won 1, Manchester United won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.