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FTMatchday 37

Bournemouth vs Manchester City: Prediction

📍 Vitality Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
BournemouthManchester City
  1. Tyler Adamsyellow card37'
  2. Eli Junior Kroupiassist Adrien Truffert39'
  3. 56'Mateo Kovačićon
  4. 56'Bernardo Silvaon
  5. 56'Antoine Semenyoon
  6. James Hillyellow card59'
  7. Eli Junior Kroupion76'
  8. 76'Jérémy Dokuon
  9. Rayanon84'
  10. Evanilsonon89'
  11. Adrien Truffertyellow card90'
  12. Justin Kluivertyellow card90'
  13. 90'Rodriyellow card
  14. Adam Smithon90'
  15. 90'Erling Haaland

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BournemouthManchester City
  • 45%Possession55%
  • 1.99Expected goals (xG)1.68
  • 10Shots14
  • 2Shots on target5
  • 7Corners6
  • 16Fouls7
  • 4Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides2
  • 3Saves2
  • 431Passes527

Line-ups

Bournemouth

  • 15Adam Smith
  • 12Tyler Adams
  • 5Marcos Senesi
  • 9Evanilson
  • 3Adrien Truffert
  • 16Marcus Tavernier
  • 23James Hill
  • 8Alex Scott
  • 1Đorđe Petrović
  • 22Eli Junior Kroupi
  • 37Rayan

Manchester City

  • 8Mateo Kovačić
  • 20Bernardo Silva
  • 25Gianluigi Donnarumma
  • 16Rodri
  • 42Antoine Semenyo
  • 9Erling Haaland
  • 11Jérémy Doku
  • 15Marc Guéhi
  • 27Matheus Nunes
  • 45Abduqodir Khusanov
  • 33Nico O'Reilly

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1535

Recent form

BournemouthWWDWW
Manchester CityWWDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City38+4278
2Bournemouth38+457

Head to head

  • Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth2026-08-23
  • Manchester City 3–1 Bournemouth2025-11-02

Match preview

Bournemouth host Manchester City in the Premier League on 19 May 2026. Bournemouth sit 6th on 57 points and Manchester City are 2nd on 78. Bournemouth have won 4 of their last 5 (WWDWW), while Manchester City have won 4 of 5 (WWDWW). In their last 2 meetings, Bournemouth won 0, Manchester City won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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