Bournemouth vs Manchester City: Prediction
📍 Vitality Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- Tyler Adamsyellow card37'
- ⚽Eli Junior Kroupiassist Adrien Truffert39'
- 56'⇄Mateo Kovačićon
- 56'⇄Bernardo Silvaon
- 56'⇄Antoine Semenyoon
- James Hillyellow card59'
- ⇄Eli Junior Kroupion76'
- 76'⇄Jérémy Dokuon
- ⇄Rayanon84'
- ⇄Evanilsonon89'
- Adrien Truffertyellow card90'
- Justin Kluivertyellow card90'
- 90'Rodriyellow card
- ⇄Adam Smithon90'
- 90'⚽Erling Haaland
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 45%Possession55%
- 1.99Expected goals (xG)1.68
- 10Shots14
- 2Shots on target5
- 7Corners6
- 16Fouls7
- 4Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides2
- 3Saves2
- 431Passes527
Line-ups
Bournemouth
- 15Adam Smith
- 12Tyler Adams
- 5Marcos Senesi
- 9Evanilson
- 3Adrien Truffert
- 16Marcus Tavernier
- 23James Hill
- 8Alex Scott
- 1Đorđe Petrović
- 22Eli Junior Kroupi
- 37Rayan
Manchester City
- 8Mateo Kovačić
- 20Bernardo Silva
- 25Gianluigi Donnarumma
- 16Rodri
- 42Antoine Semenyo
- 9Erling Haaland
- 11Jérémy Doku
- 15Marc Guéhi
- 27Matheus Nunes
- 45Abduqodir Khusanov
- 33Nico O'Reilly
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | +42 | 78 | |
| 2 | 38 | +4 | 57 |
Head to head
- Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth2026-08-23
- Manchester City 3–1 Bournemouth2025-11-02
Match preview
Bournemouth host Manchester City in the Premier League on 19 May 2026. Bournemouth sit 6th on 57 points and Manchester City are 2nd on 78. Bournemouth have won 4 of their last 5 (WWDWW), while Manchester City have won 4 of 5 (WWDWW). In their last 2 meetings, Bournemouth won 0, Manchester City won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

