FTMatchday 23

Bournemouth vs Liverpool: Prediction

📍 Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth3

Liverpool2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals

BournemouthLiverpool

Evanilsonassist Alex Scott26'
Álex Jiménezassist James Hill33'
35'Joe Gomezon
Eli Junior Kroupiyellow card45'
45'Virgil van Dijkassist Dominik Szoboszlai
46'Milos Kerkezon
59'Jeremie Frimpongon
59'Alexis Mac Allisteron
Eli Junior Kroupion67'
74'Cody Gakpoon
80'Dominik Szoboszlaiassist Mohamed Salah
Álex Jiménezon85'
90'Ryan Gravenberchyellow card
Evanilsonon90'
Amine Adli90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BournemouthLiverpool

33%Possession67%
2.18Expected goals (xG)0.83
12Shots14
5Shots on target3
3Corners11
7Fouls7
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Offsides0
1Saves2
293Passes615

Line-ups

Bournemouth

4Lewis Cook
15Adam Smith
5Marcos Senesi
9Evanilson
3Adrien Truffert
21Amine Adli
23James Hill
8Alex Scott
1Đorđe Petrović
22Eli Junior Kroupi
20Álex Jiménez

Liverpool

11Mohamed Salah
4Virgil van Dijk
2Joe Gomez
1Alisson Becker
18Cody Gakpo
10Alexis Mac Allister
38Ryan Gravenberch
8Dominik Szoboszlai
7Florian Wirtz
30Jeremie Frimpong
6Milos Kerkez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1488

Recent form

BournemouthLDLWD

LiverpoolWDDDD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	38	+10	60
2	Bournemouth	38	+4	57

Head to head

Bournemouth 0–1 Liverpool2026-09-20
Liverpool 4–2 Bournemouth2025-08-15

Match preview

Bournemouth host Liverpool in the Premier League on 24 January 2026. Bournemouth sit 6th on 57 points and Liverpool are 5th on 60. Bournemouth have won 1 of their last 5 (LDLWD), while Liverpool have won 1 of 5 (WDDDD). In their last 2 meetings, Bournemouth won 0, Liverpool won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.