Bournemouth vs Leeds United: Prediction
📍 Vitality Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- Eli Junior Kroupiyellow card25'
- Álex Jiménezyellow card41'
- 46'⇄Jayden Bogleon
- ⚽Eli Junior Kroupiassist Marcos Senesi60'
- 64'⇄Noah Okaforon
- 64'⇄Jaka Bijolon
- ⇄David Brookson67'
- 68'⚽James Hillown goal
- ⇄Ryan Christieon73'
- ⇄Eli Junior Kroupion73'
- 84'⇄Brenden Aaronsonon
- ⚽Rayanassist Tyler Adams85'
- 89'⇄Ao Tanakaon
- Evanilsonyellow card90'
- 90'⚽Sean Longstaff
- ⇄Marcus Tavernieron90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 60%Possession40%
- 1.45Expected goals (xG)0.86
- 17Shots10
- 7Shots on target3
- 12Corners1
- 7Fouls10
- 3Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides1
- 2Saves5
- 465Passes310
Line-ups
Bournemouth
- 10Ryan Christie
- 7David Brooks
- 5Marcos Senesi
- 9Evanilson
- 3Adrien Truffert
- 16Marcus Tavernier
- 23James Hill
- 8Alex Scott
- 1Đorđe Petrović
- 22Eli Junior Kroupi
- 20Álex Jiménez
Leeds United
- 26Karl Darlow
- 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- 15Jaka Bijol
- 24James Justin
- 4Ethan Ampadu
- 19Noah Okafor
- 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
- 5Pascal Struijk
- 2Jayden Bogle
- 11Brenden Aaronson
- 22Ao Tanaka
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
BournemouthDDDWW
Leeds UnitedLDDWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bournemouth | 38 | +4 | 57 |
| 2 | Leeds United | 38 | -7 | 47 |
Head to head
- Bournemouth 2–0 Leeds United2026-10-31
- Leeds United 2–2 Bournemouth2025-09-27
Match preview
Bournemouth host Leeds United in the Premier League on 22 April 2026. Bournemouth sit 6th on 57 points and Leeds United are 14th on 47. Bournemouth have won 2 of their last 5 (DDDWW), while Leeds United have won 2 of 5 (LDDWW). In their last 2 meetings, Bournemouth won 1, Leeds United won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
