FTMatchday 35

Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace: Prediction

📍 Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth3

Crystal Palace0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

BournemouthCrystal Palace

6'Jaydee Canvotyellow card
Jefferson Lermaown goal10'
Eli Junior Kroupipenalty32'
38'Maxence Lacroixyellow card
46'Daichi Kamadaon
46'Yéremy Pinoon
46'Daniel Muñozon
65'Jørgen Strand Larsenon
Tyler Adamson69'
Eli Junior Kroupion70'
76'Chadi Riadon
Rayanassist David Brooks77'
Evanilsonon80'
Rayanon86'
Marcus Tavernieron86'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BournemouthCrystal Palace

49%Possession51%
2.29Expected goals (xG)0.78
16Shots7
5Shots on target1
7Corners1
10Fouls11
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Offsides0
1Saves3
382Passes398

Line-ups

Bournemouth

12Tyler Adams
5Marcos Senesi
9Evanilson
3Adrien Truffert
16Marcus Tavernier
23James Hill
8Alex Scott
1Đorđe Petrović
22Eli Junior Kroupi
20Álex Jiménez
37Rayan

Crystal Palace

1Dean Henderson
8Jefferson Lerma
18Daichi Kamada
5Maxence Lacroix
10Yéremy Pino
2Daniel Muñoz
11Brennan Johnson
34Chadi Riad
22Jørgen Strand Larsen
23Jaydee Canvot
55Justin Devenny

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1521

Recent form

BournemouthDDWWD

Crystal PalaceWDWDL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bournemouth	38	+4	57
2	Crystal Palace	38	-10	45

Head to head

Crystal Palace 3–3 Bournemouth2025-10-18

Match preview

Bournemouth host Crystal Palace in the Premier League on 3 May 2026. Bournemouth sit 6th on 57 points and Crystal Palace are 15th on 45. Bournemouth have won 2 of their last 5 (DDWWD), while Crystal Palace have won 2 of 5 (WDWDL). In their last 1 meetings, Bournemouth won 0, Crystal Palace won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.