FTMatchday 15

Bournemouth vs Chelsea: Prediction

📍 Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth0

Chelsea0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals

BournemouthChelsea

32'Liam Delapon
58'Cole Palmeron
Marcos Senesion62'
Justin Kluiverton74'
Álex Jiménezon74'
77'Alejandro Garnachoon
85'Marc Guiuyellow card
Evanilsonon87'
90'Pedro Netoyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BournemouthChelsea

39%Possession61%
1Expected goals (xG)1
13Shots11
5Shots on target4
5Corners0
15Fouls13
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Offsides0
4Saves5
321Passes515

Line-ups

Bournemouth

15Adam Smith
19Justin Kluivert
24Antoine Semenyo
5Marcos Senesi
9Evanilson
3Adrien Truffert
16Marcus Tavernier
18Bafodé Diakité
8Alex Scott
1Đorđe Petrović
20Álex Jiménez

Chelsea

1Robert Sanchez
24Reece James
7Pedro Neto
3Marc Cucurella
29Wesley Fofana
23Trevoh Chalobah
9Liam Delap
27Malo Gusto
10Cole Palmer
8Enzo Fernández
49Alejandro Garnacho

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1524

Recent form

BournemouthLLDLL

ChelseaWWWDL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bournemouth	38	+4	57
2	Chelsea	38	+6	52

Head to head

Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth2026-10-10
Chelsea 2–2 Bournemouth2025-12-30

Match preview

Bournemouth host Chelsea in the Premier League on 6 December 2025. Bournemouth sit 6th on 57 points and Chelsea are 10th on 52. Bournemouth have won 0 of their last 5 (LLDLL), while Chelsea have won 3 of 5 (WWWDL). In their last 2 meetings, Bournemouth won 0, Chelsea won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.