FTMatchday 17

Bournemouth vs Burnley: Prediction

📍 Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth1

Burnley1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

BournemouthBurnley

38'Zian Flemmingyellow card
Evanilsonon63'
Justin Kluiverton64'
65'Zian Flemmingon
66'Jacob Bruun Larsenon
Antoine Semenyo67'
David Brooksyellow card74'
David Brookson74'
77'Jaidon Anthonyon
77'Kyle Walkeron
82'Chimuanya Ugochukwuon
Marcus Tavernieron90'
Álex Jiménezon90'
90'Armando Brojaassist Marcus Edwards

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BournemouthBurnley

65%Possession35%
2Expected goals (xG)0
16Shots4
1Shots on target1
5Corners3
11Fouls11
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Offsides2
0Saves0
500Passes270

Line-ups

Bournemouth

4Lewis Cook
7David Brooks
19Justin Kluivert
24Antoine Semenyo
5Marcos Senesi
9Evanilson
3Adrien Truffert
16Marcus Tavernier
18Bafodé Diakité
1Đorđe Petrović
20Álex Jiménez

Burnley

2Kyle Walker
1Martin Dubravka
24Josh Cullen
4Joe Worrall
29Josh Laurent
7Jacob Bruun Larsen
19Zian Flemming
11Jaidon Anthony
8Chimuanya Ugochukwu
18Hjalmar Ekdal
23Lucas Pires

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1497

Recent form

BournemouthDLLDD

BurnleyLLLLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bournemouth	38	+4	57
2	Burnley	38	-37	22

Head to head

Burnley 0–0 Bournemouth2026-03-14

Match preview

Bournemouth host Burnley in the Premier League on 20 December 2025. Bournemouth sit 6th on 57 points and Burnley are 19th on 22. Bournemouth have won 0 of their last 5 (DLLDD), while Burnley have won 0 of 5 (LLLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Bournemouth won 0, Burnley won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.