Kick-off · Thu, 3 Dec, 01:30 am ISTMatchday 13
Bournemouth vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Prediction
Bournemouth41%Home win
Brighton and Hove Albion41% Home win25% Draw34% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.49 – 1.32
Team rating (Elo)1531 – 1565
Recent form
BournemouthDLLWWBrighton and Hove AlbionWWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 8 | +16 | 16 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 8 | -1 | 9 |
Head to head
- Brighton and Hove Albion 1–1 Bournemouth2026-01-19
- Bournemouth 2–1 Brighton and Hove Albion2025-09-13
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
