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FTMatchday 4

Bournemouth vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Prediction

📍 Vitality Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
BournemouthBrighton and Hove Albion
  1. 3'Jack Hinshelwoodon
  2. Alex Scottassist Antoine Semenyo18'
  3. 24'Maxim Cuyperon
  4. 30'Lewis Dunkyellow card
  5. David Brooksyellow card31'
  6. Marcos Senesiyellow card36'
  7. Tyler Adamsyellow card45'
  8. 48'Kaoru Mitomaassist Yankuba Minteh
  9. 57'Georginio Rutteryellow card
  10. Antoine Semenyopenalty61'
  11. 63'James Milneryellow card
  12. 66'James Milneron
  13. David Brookson67'
  14. Alex Scotton67'
  15. 67'Georginio Rutteron
  16. 67'Danny Welbeckon
  17. 73'Carlos Balebayellow card
  18. Marcus Tavernieron86'
  19. James Hillon87'
  20. Evanilsonon90'
  21. Álex Jiménezyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BournemouthBrighton and Hove Albion
  • 51%Possession49%
  • 1.45Expected goals (xG)0.62
  • 13Shots6
  • 5Shots on target2
  • 4Corners4
  • 16Fouls10
  • 4Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides0
  • 1Saves3
  • 393Passes374

Line-ups

Bournemouth

  • 7David Brooks
  • 24Antoine Semenyo
  • 12Tyler Adams
  • 5Marcos Senesi
  • 9Evanilson
  • 3Adrien Truffert
  • 16Marcus Tavernier
  • 23James Hill
  • 8Alex Scott
  • 1Đorđe Petrović
  • 44Veljko Milosavljevic

Brighton and Hove Albion

  • 18Danny Welbeck
  • 20James Milner
  • 34Joel Veltman
  • 5Lewis Dunk
  • 10Georginio Rutter
  • 29Maxim Cuyper
  • 22Kaoru Mitoma
  • 1Bart Verbruggen
  • 6Jan Paul van Hecke
  • 13Jack Hinshelwood
  • 11Yankuba Minteh

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1535

Recent form

BournemouthLWLW
Brighton and Hove AlbionDLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Bournemouth38+457
2Brighton and Hove Albion38+653

Head to head

  • Brighton and Hove Albion 1–1 Bournemouth2026-01-19

Match preview

Bournemouth host Brighton and Hove Albion in the Premier League on 13 September 2025. Bournemouth sit 6th on 57 points and Brighton and Hove Albion are 8th on 53. Bournemouth have won 2 of their last 4 (LWLW), while Brighton and Hove Albion have won 2 of 4 (DLWW). In their last 1 meetings, Bournemouth won 0, Brighton and Hove Albion won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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